Astrakhan vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
AST
0 - 1
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 0
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
AST
1 - 3
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AFI
4 - 0
AST
66%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
FCK
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
BIO
0 - 1
CHE
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
SKA
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
CHE
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 2
DIN
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 0
CHE
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |