Astrakhan vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
7º
7º
16
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 60 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 59 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 56 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 48 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 47 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 40 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 18 |
17º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 0
AST
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
DMA
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
NCH
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +5 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
FYK
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 1
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 7
ROS
61%
18%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DDA
0 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 5
FOT
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 2
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |