Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 2-3
FC Astra Giurgiu vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
URA
0 - 1
AST
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
POG
3 - 1
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AST
4 - 2
URA
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 1
AST
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
STR
0 - 3
GNK
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
WAA
0 - 0
GNK
13%
24%
63%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
GNK
0 - 1
OOS
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
KVM
1 - 0
GNK
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |