Astoria Walldorf vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VFR
1 - 3
AST
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AST
4 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 4
AST
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
AST
1 - 1
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ULM
2 - 0
FRE
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 4
ULM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ULM
5 - 0
SCH
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
SGS
1 - 0
ULM
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ULM
1 - 1
CRA
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |