Aston Villa U23 vs Stoke City U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 3
BUR
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 3
ASV
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ASV
4 - 4
CPA
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
ASV
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 3
ASV
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
FUL
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
REA
1 - 3
STO
46%
23%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
STO
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
STO
3 - 1
WOL
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |