Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 4
STO
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 0
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
SOU
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
NSB
2 - 4
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WOL
4 - 2
NSB
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
5 - 1
NSB
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
MID
4 - 2
NSB
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NSB
4 - 3
WBA
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |