Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
REA
3 - 3
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 0
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
ASV
4 - 1
MUN
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 2
ASV
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
NSB
2 - 2
MID
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SUN
0 - 2
NSB
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
NSB
0 - 1
SWA
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
WBA
2 - 1
NSB
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
NSB
3 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |