Aston Villa U18 vs Norwich City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
35%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
10º
11º
1
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 50 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 44 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 40 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 40 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 32 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 31 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 23 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 22 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 11 |
13º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
AST
50%
20%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AST
2 - 4
LEI
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BHA
3 - 2
AST
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
AST
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
CRY
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 6
BHA
21%
20%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 2
NOR
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 9
ARS
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WBA
0 - 3
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
TOT
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +3 |