Aston Villa Sub 18 vs Chelsea Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
11º
10º
37
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
AST
34%
21%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FUL
4 - 0
AST
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AST
3 - 1
ARS
11%
16%
72%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
3 - 3
AST
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AST
2 - 4
TOT
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 4
WHU
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 7
FUL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHE
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
1 - 2
CHE
19%
19%
62%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 2
CHE
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |