UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Aston Villa vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 0
ASV
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LEI
2 - 2
ASV
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
LEE
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 0
ASV
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
3 - 1
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 0
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 2
GCZ
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LEV
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |