Aston Villa vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 2
ASV
36%
25%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASV
4 - 1
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
26%
24%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 2
FUL
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
WOL
3 - 3
TOT
18%
23%
58%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WOL
4 - 0
BPO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
WBA
1 - 1
WOL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 0
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 1
MUD
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | +1 |