Aston Villa vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 5
BPO
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
3 - 0
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
52%
21%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
DER
2 - 3
WOL
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
CHA
2 - 2
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |