Aston Villa vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
WOL
4 - 0
ASV
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
MID
6 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
WOL
4 - 0
ASV
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
CHL
4 - 1
WOL
41%
23%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
WOL
1 - 0
EVE
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 1
WOL
47%
22%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |