Aston Villa vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
GRI
4 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
ASV
3 - 3
LEE
68%
16%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
LEE
2 - 0
WOL
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
LIV
0 - 2
WOL
63%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 0
WBA
59%
19%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
BBU
1 - 0
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |