EFL Cup 1/32
Global 8-0
Aston Villa vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
17.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
20.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
10.1%
2%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
WHU
1 - 0
ASV
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
INT
1 - 0
ASV
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
ASV
2 - 0
IPS
60%
25%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1994 |
COV
0 - 1
ASV
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
ASV
1 - 1
CRY
56%
26%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
WIG
3 - 0
CRE
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
CRE
2 - 1
WIG
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
STF
0 - 0
WIG
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
WIG
2 - 0
GIL
57%
24%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
CUM
3 - 0
WIG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |