Champions League 1/16
Global 7-0
Aston Villa vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ASV
1 - 1
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
TOT
1 - 3
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ASV
0 - 1
NOT
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ASV
2 - 2
TOT
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
THO
1 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 0
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1981 |
BRE
5 - 1
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 2
IBV
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
KAA
3 - 0
VAL
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |