Aston Villa vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASV
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
ASV
3 - 3
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
ASV
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASV
1 - 2
SHW
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 0
ROT
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 3
IPS
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
WIG
0 - 0
SWA
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SWA
3 - 0
QPR
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
SWA
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
SWA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |