Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
SHW
0 - 4
ASV
33%
30%
37%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
BPO
0 - 3
ASV
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
ASV
5 - 0
OLD
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
MIL
1 - 3
ASV
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SUN
3 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
OXF
1 - 0
SUN
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 2
SUN
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1975 |
SUN
3 - 0
LEY
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |