Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 2
LEI
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 2
LEE
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
SHE
1 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
LEI
4 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 1
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
SUN
4 - 1
SHE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1965 |
WHU
1 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
LEE
1 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |