Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
ASV
2 - 4
TOT
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1954 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1954 |
ASV
6 - 1
WBA
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
WBA
1 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
SUN
4 - 2
WBA
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 3
SUN
53%
20%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
51%
21%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
SUN
2 - 2
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |