Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
1 - 4
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
1 - 3
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
2 - 2
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
LEE
4 - 1
ASV
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
OPA
1 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |