Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 1
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
SUN
2 - 0
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 1
BCF
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |