Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 5
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |