Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
7 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
LIV
0 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |