Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 6
ASV
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
0 - 3
WBA
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 1
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |