Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 1
BCF
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
0 - 2
SHE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
LIV
1 - 2
SUN
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |