Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHW
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
LIV
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
SUN
3 - 1
SHE
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1908 |
MID
0 - 3
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
BCF
4 - 2
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |