Aston Villa vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 4
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SHE
0 - 0
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 3
NOT
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 5
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |