Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MID
0 - 3
ASV
45%
28%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
ASV
5 - 5
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASV
4 - 2
BIR
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
ASV
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STO
2 - 0
IPS
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STO
2 - 2
QPR
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NTT
0 - 0
STO
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |