Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
2 - 2
ASV
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
0 - 1
LEI
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
STO
1 - 4
NTT
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
0 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
STO
0 - 0
WBA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
STO
0 - 1
TOT
26%
26%
49%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |