Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
NEW
3 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
BIR
2 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEE
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
TOT
3 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1977 |
WBA
3 - 1
STO
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1977 |
STO
3 - 3
MUD
34%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
STO
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
COV
5 - 2
STO
53%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
STO
0 - 0
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |