Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
LEI
2 - 2
ASV
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
TOT
5 - 2
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
IPS
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 1
WOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
STO
0 - 1
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
IPS
1 - 1
STO
60%
22%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
STO
4 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
NEW
0 - 1
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |