Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
NTT
1 - 2
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
71%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
STO
1 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
STO
0 - 0
BUR
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
WHU
0 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
STO
1 - 2
LEE
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |