Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
3 - 1
REA
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
PLY
3 - 1
STO
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
STO
0 - 2
WOL
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
STO
1 - 1
PLY
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
SUN
2 - 2
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
STO
3 - 3
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |