Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1953 |
CHA
5 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
ASV
4 - 0
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
STO
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 0
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
STO
0 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |