Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
STO
2 - 4
SUN
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 3
STO
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
STO
2 - 0
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
BPO
3 - 0
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
STO
2 - 0
MID
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |