Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
ASV
0 - 4
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
WBA
1 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
STO
0 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 1
STO
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
STO
0 - 2
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 1
STO
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
STO
2 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |