Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
STO
4 - 2
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1923 |
PNE
4 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
STO
4 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1923 |
BBU
1 - 5
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |