Aston Villa vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
4 - 2
BBU
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
6 - 0
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 3
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
5 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
STO
2 - 1
SHE
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |