Europa League Last 16
Global 3-2
Aston Villa vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
ASV
3 - 0
COV
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
WHU
2 - 1
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
STB
2 - 1
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
CRY
1 - 1
ASV
30%
30%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
UCL
2 - 3
STB
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
STB
2 - 1
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
STB
4 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
FAR
2 - 2
STB
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
STB
59%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |