Europa League 1/16
Global 3-4
Aston Villa vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 6
ARS
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
WOL
1 - 1
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
LUT
1 - 0
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HJK
0 - 5
SPA
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 0
HJK
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
VCF
2 - 0
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 0
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |