Aston Villa vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
ASV
0 - 1
DEP
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
SWI
1 - 2
ASV
28%
29%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
SUN
1 - 4
ASV
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
BBU
2 - 0
SOU
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOT
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
LIV
4 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
SOU
2 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |