Aston Villa vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 1
MID
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
NOR
2 - 2
ASV
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
LUT
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
QPR
1 - 0
ASV
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
SOU
0 - 0
WIM
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
SOU
0 - 0
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
WHU
1 - 2
SOU
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
NTT
3 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
MID
3 - 3
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |