Aston Villa vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
ASV
0 - 0
WHU
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1984 |
QPR
1 - 0
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
LEI
5 - 0
ASV
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
ASV
2 - 2
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1984 |
WOL
0 - 2
SOU
26%
26%
47%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
SOU
1 - 0
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1984 |
SOU
2 - 2
WOL
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
WBA
0 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |