Aston Villa vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1920 |
BBU
5 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 6
BOL
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 2
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |