Aston Villa vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
WIG
3 - 2
ASV
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
REA
3 - 2
MID
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
QPR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SHW
1 - 1
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |