Aston Villa vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
MID
2 - 0
ASV
40%
29%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
ASV
3 - 0
BOL
70%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 3
QPR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1979 |
BIR
3 - 1
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
EVE
2 - 1
QPR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
MUD
2 - 0
QPR
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
QPR
0 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |