Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
FUL
1 - 1
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1961 |
ASV
4 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 2
NTT
63%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 2
WOL
28%
23%
50%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
TOT
5 - 0
PNE
83%
10%
6%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 3
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
PNE
0 - 0
LEI
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |