Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 2
WBA
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
80%
12%
7%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
LUT
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
SUN
0 - 0
PNE
42%
22%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
PNE
4 - 3
CHA
72%
15%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 3
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 4
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |