Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 3
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
OPA
3 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
4 - 1
SHE
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
PNE
1 - 3
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
ARS
0 - 0
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
BPO
2 - 2
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |